Biden’s Lead in the Black Vote Begins to Slip

President Trump won the presidential election in 2016 with just 8 percent of the Black vote. If Trump can improve that number to 13 percent in November he will bury Joe Biden. Keep the attack ads coming, Team Trump! A Biden presidency would be awful for Black America.

Biden’s Lead in the Black Vote Starts to Slip

By Bongino, May 29, 2020

Just days after Joe Biden told a black radio host that “if you have a problem figuring out whether you’re for me or Trump, then you ain’t black,” a poll reveals Biden lagging behind 2016 election silver medalist Hillary Clinton in garnering the black vote.

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Or as Biden understands it, he’s lagging Hillary Clinton in garnering the not-black vote.

Fox News’s poll a few days ago had Biden up eight points nationally on Trump but with a note of caution for him.

Trump leads by 7 points among men and by 30 among rural whites. He won both groups by larger margins in 2016 (11 and 37 points respectively).

Biden leads by 20 points among women and 64 points among blacks. Compared to Hillary Clinton in 2016, he bests her performance among women (Clinton was +13) but lags among blacks (Clinton +81).

That’s a seventeen percentage point reduction in the gap by which Biden is winning the black vote compared to Hillary.

Biden’s “you ain’t black if you don’t vote for me” comment was one that a majority of black voters obviously disagree with. While that doesn’t mean they’ll change their vote for Trump, it does mean they’re offended by Democrats taking their vote for granted. According to Rasmussen Reports, only “27% of black voters – and 17% of Democrats – agree with Biden’s original statement.”

While Biden leads overall by eight points in the aforementioned Fox News poll, that’s reduced to a five point lead when you account for the fact that the poll’s sample is D+3. Other polls with similar results like the commonly cited Quinnipiac Poll have a sample that is D+10.

Furthermore, such polls (if accurate) only approximate the popular vote, not the electoral college. According to another poll from earlier this month, President Trump leads Biden in every single one of the fifteen battleground states (i.e. the ones that will actually determine the election). Overall his lead on Biden across those key states is by a 52-45 margin.

Biden also suffers from the problem that nobody voting for him actually seems to want to vote for him. Just take a look at the gap in voters claiming to be “very enthusiastic” supporters of their candidate in past presidential elections:

• 2020 – Joe Biden: 29-point deficit against President Trump.
• 2016 – Hillary Clinton: 13-point deficit against Donald Trump.
• 2012 – Mitt Romney: 25-point deficit against President Obama.
• 2008 – John McCain: 33-point deficit against Barack Obama.
• 2004 – John Kerry: 16-point deficit against President George W. Bush.

In every case, the candidate with the more enthusiastic voter base has won. What’s the chance this election will be the exception?

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felix1999

3 years ago

Ballot voter fraud is already rampant. I am very concerned about that. Here is another one in just one country. Trump tried to clean up the vote back in 2017 and I think it was 46 states REJECTED his commission from helping them to clean it up. So it was disbanded due to lack of cooperation. That included Republican governors too!

Pennsylvania Officials Admit Duplicate Ballots Were Mailed Out to Voters
JOHN BINDER 28 May 2020

Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, officials have admitted that duplicate ballots were mailed out to registered voters, though they are not sure how many.
…
Several voters told the Post-Gazette this month that they had applied for a mail-in or absentee ballot and received more than one in the mail. The county released a statement on the issue Thursday, and said it was the result of a bug in the state’s voter registration system.
…
The duplicate mail-in ballot issues come as Allegheny County officials have reached a settlement with the Public Interest Legal Foundation (PILF) to clean up its voter rolls, which reportedly include
1,600 dead people,
close t0 7,500 voter registrations flagged as duplicates,
1,523 registered voters who claim to be 100-years-old and over, and
1,178 registered voters who are missing dates of birth.

Still ongoing is Judicial Watch’s lawsuit against the state of Pennsylvania for reportedly having more than 800,000 inactive voters on its voter rolls.

https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2020/05/28/pennsylvania-officials-admit-duplicate-ballots-were-mailed-out-to-voters/

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T

3 years ago

If he picks a white woman he loses black votes. He picks a black woman he loses the election. Exception, Condeleza Rice or Nikki Haley. Thats right, they are Republican. Game Over.

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Martina Vaslovik

3 years ago

I think to assume that Biden has any sort of lead with blacks would be racist.

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Worsethanitlooks

3 years ago

Biden recorded a long statement on the Floyd death but he and The Democrat party leadership have been predictably silent about the looting and rioting. This really hammers home how little they actually care about the lives of Black Americans and small business owners. For the political parasites on the Left, this is purely transactional. The Black vote is an annuity they simply cannot afford to lose. Without it, winning back the WH is a lost cause.
The mindless looting and rioting is a reflection of how the Left exploits the poor (black and white) for political gain believing the images will cement black voter black loyalty. Fermenting hate and resentment of whites and law enforcement has been a successful strategy for the Left but time that strategy may backfire.
Black America has watched Trump in action and while they not admit it, secretly they admire his defiance of the political elite. Obama promised he was above political expediency but he didn’t deliver the goods. Trump has done tangible things that Black America perceives as positive.
Ironically, without pointless and self-destructive rioting, Black Americans, more than any other minority group, have the power to impact this election by simply changing their vote. If only 15-20% of Black voters dissented and voted for Trump, it would cause a seismic shift in American politics that would burn the American Left to the ground. That’s because without the black vote and open borders, they have no Plan B.

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mackykam

3 years ago

If this poll is valid (?) women are approaching Bell-Curve intelligence numbers.

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