Inflation Down, Wages Up

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Whether you’re talking about consumer inflation or producer inflation, we are seeing a dramatically improved economic picture.

Gas down 12%. Core inflation at 2%, down to its lowest level in four years.Wages climbing fast. So why isn’t the Fed cutting interest rates?

There’s no inflation in the Trump economy.

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“The Fed is strangling the economy with Biden era interest rates even though Trump brought inflation down to just 1.5%.

That’s actually below the Fed’s target. Jerome Powell spent 4 years trying to bail out Biden and Harris. Now he’s doing everything he can to hurt Trump.” (X)

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The Democrats and their media lapdogs beat us about the head for months that Trump’s tariffs were going to trigger a recession and cause inflation to spike, and we’re seeing the exact opposite happen.

Of course President Trump really wants the Fed to begin cutting rates.It’s the rational and logical economic response. He’s asking for a 100 basis point cut. If you recall, Powell cut 100 basis points right before the election, and that was with inflation rates actually much higher than where they’re at right now.

As economist Mark Tepper pointed out: It would be great for interest rates to come down. It would really help to propel the economy and drive more economic growth, not just from a standpoint of mortgages becoming more affordable for consumers, but really from a standpoint of business loans. If a business were able to take out a a 7% loan versus a nine or 10% loan, that’s going to give them the ability to purchase more equipment, which generates jobs, they can hire more people, they can really drive growth, which is going to help us to grow as an economy. It’s going to help us to generate that bigger economic base so that we can start to chip away at the deficit and the debt, all the things that we need to be doing right now.

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The Numbers:

3.8% Q2 GDP Growth (Atlanta Fed estimate)

139,000 jobs added in May (above 126,000 expected)

Inflation at 0.1% MoM (vs 0.2 expected) and 2.4% YoY

Trade deficit cut in half

Polymarket odds of recession down from 66% in April to 23% today

Trump approval +6 in Morning Consult, +7 in Rasmussen

Democrat Party approval -49 in Quinnipiac

The Federalist: Though the left-wing propaganda apparatus continues to prophesy doom, Trump’s tariffs appear to be having a negligible impact on inflation, with year-over-year inflation rates hitting lows not seen since 2021. The stock market, which tanked following Trump’s Liberation Day announcement, has also recovered and is close to the highest it’s been since Trump was inaugurated.

The Consumer Price Index summary released Wednesday morning by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics shows that inflation only increased 2.4 percent year-over-year in May. This is slightly higher than April’s 2.3 percent increase, but is still significantly lower than the five percent May year-over-year increase during Biden’s first year in office. May’s monthly increase of 0.1 percent is also down from April’s 0.2 percent increase. The core inflation rate, which is calculated without unstable food and energy costs, increased only 0.1 percent in May.

White House Policy Communications Director Jacki Kotkiewicz posted a list of “where prices are falling the most” under the Trump administration on Wednesday. This includes a 12.5 percent year-over-year decrease in gas, according to Kotkiewicz.

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