Trump Peace: Bringing Saudi Arabia Into Abraham Accords A strategic Goal for US, Israel

Highly unlikely that this will happen with the Biden Administration  destroying America. We will in all likelihood have to wait until President Trump or Governor DeSantis take office in January 2025. That said, Saudi Arabia (and Kuwait) should immediately normalize relations with Israel in spite of the Biden Administration, so that Iran could be deterred.

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Bringing Saudi Arabia into Abraham Accords a strategic goal for US, Israel

Riyadh’s economic, political and military capabilities mean that its entry into a normalization agreement with Israel would be a regional game-changer.

By JNS, February 2, 2022

 In its annual strategic survey released in recent days, the Tel Aviv-based Institute for National Security Studies pointed to a central understanding that has rippled through the region. The United States is focusing its attention and resources on dealing with China (and, more recently, Russia), and is unwilling to be significantly involved in further conflicts in the Middle East.

Washington’s enthusiasm for reviving the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran is one such signal of this intention to detangle from the Middle East.

The U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in August was another. The INSS’s survey called that withdrawal “winning proof for the countries of the Middle East” that Washington was no longer prepared to commit resources and major attention to the region. Middle Eastern leaders began to understand that even if they still rely on the United States, they must begin to prepare to deal by themselves with challenges.

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With this in mind, the coming year forms a golden opportunity for Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords. Under the agreement so far, Israel has normalized relations with the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco and Sudan—all with quiet Saudi support.

Bringing Saudi Arabia into the accords forms one of the most important strategic goals of the coming year, due to the economic, political and military weight that the Kingdom brings with it to the table. The result of bringing such a dominant Sunni power into the fold could be a strategic game-changer.

 In its annual strategic survey released in recent days, the Tel Aviv-based Institute for National Security Studies pointed to a central understanding that has rippled through the region. The United States is focusing its attention and resources on dealing with China (and, more recently, Russia), and is unwilling to be significantly involved in further conflicts in the Middle East.

Washington’s enthusiasm for reviving the 2015 nuclear deal with Iran is one such signal of this intention to detangle from the Middle East.

The U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in August was another. The INSS’s survey called that withdrawal “winning proof for the countries of the Middle East” that Washington was no longer prepared to commit resources and major attention to the region. Middle Eastern leaders began to understand that even if they still rely on the United States, they must begin to prepare to deal by themselves with challenges.

With this in mind, the coming year forms a golden opportunity for Saudi Arabia to join the Abraham Accords. Under the agreement so far, Israel has normalized relations with the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco and Sudan—all with quiet Saudi support.

Bringing Saudi Arabia into the accords forms one of the most important strategic goals of the coming year, due to the economic, political and military weight that the Kingdom brings with it to the table. The result of bringing such a dominant Sunni power into the fold could be a strategic game-changer.

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‘A combined threat of nuclear and regional malign activities’

The modern Middle East can basically be divided into two opposing camps, or “blue” and “red” colors. The red zones represent Iran’s area of radical influence—stretching from Iran itself and encompassing Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Yemen and the Gaza Strip. The blue zones represent the moderate regional states.

In the past 20 years, the Iranian red zone has expanded dramatically. This means that when Israeli strategic planners looked at a map in the year 2002, Iran’s nuclear program—a severe strategic threat—was located more than 1,000 kilometers from Israel’s borders. Now, in addition to the threat posed by the Iranian nuclear program itself, Iranian-backed terror armies and Iranian weapons produced by capable Iranian military industries are on Israel’s borders.

The radical Iranian-Shi’ite axis injects weapons and destabilization wherever it expands to. It sends funds and capabilities to radical actors through a range of supply lines. The axis threatens Gulf states and Israel alike; the Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen fire Iranian-made drones and missiles at Riyadh and Abu Dhabi; while the Iranian-backed Hezbollah and Gaza’s terror factions point a large arsenal of projectiles at Israeli cities.

The Iranian axis is ideologically committed to destroying the State of Israel. Those who doubt Iran’s penchant to pay prices for its ideology should consider Tehran’s willingness to drag its 83 million people through economic crises lasting many years to fulfill a nuclear vision.

Facing this combined threat of nuclear and regional malign activities is the moderate camp in the Middle East.

As the Abraham Accords develop and its members learn about one another’s comparative advantage, cooperation between Israel and Gulf states could extend considerably to include capability-sharing, air-force overflights, deploying Israeli air-defense systems in the Gulf and intelligence-sharing.

Israel leads the way in gray-zone military warfighting in the region against Iranian entrenchment efforts. A reported Israeli airstrike overnight between Sunday and Monday near Damascus is the latest apparent indication of Jerusalem’s total commitment to continue to enforce its policy of not allowing Iran to entrench itself or its proxies militarily in Syria, and not allowing a “Hezbollah 2” scenario to unfold unchallenged.

 

 

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Thanks for sharing!