Corona IMHE Models Are Wildly INACCURATE, Projected Hospitalizations and Deaths Do Not Reflect Reality


Check out the much cited and oft heralded “model” estimates of hospitalizations versus the actual hospitalization number flashed during Coumo’s daily presser midday. The gross discordance speaks for itself. And this model is much more conservative in terms of total US coronavirus deaths of ~80-84K

Also, what is the actual death rate of Coronavirus patients who did not have debilitating underlying diseases?

The media is not going to press these issues. They are going to do everything to prolong corona panic. Think about it. All Americans are being forced to stay home and watch the news. And the more dire their predictions,the more eyes.

Is that ever going to happen for them again?

Is it ever going to be this good for them again?

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Dr. Andrew Bostom, MD, MS writes:

Let me make clear: I do not engage in covid19 denialism.
It is a vicious virus/viral illness when it finds a vulnerable target (and
the same can be said of influenza viruses, BTW, esp. in the age before mass
deployment of effective vaccination, & even occasionally in our era, when we
still have “vaccine mismatches”)!
However, here is what I also find unacceptable!: The most
“rigorous/respected” U Wash Inst for Health Metrics covid19 “model” for NYC
was 4-fold exaggerated for hospitalizations yesterday, 4/1. (This model
https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections currently projects 93,531 covid
19 deaths by Aug. 4th, & is now widely touted)….But see how far off this
model was (~4-fold) on a very important basic metric yesterday, i.e.,
hospitalizations for serious covid19 illness, yesterday in NYC!!  Similarly,
the U Wash Inst for Health Metrics covid19 “model” for my state of Rhode
Island was off by over 3-fold, on this same basic metric!
Hat Tip https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson : The more “rigorous” U Wash Inst
For Health Metrics model predicted 50K covid19 hospital bed occupancy for
NYS today, 4/1 https://t.co/9fPnjNohbs?amp=1 ; Actual occupancy is 12,226,
4-fold less
More “rigorous” U Wash Inst For Health Metrics model predicted 200 hospital
bed covid19 occupancy for Rhode Island today, 4/1
https://t.co/9fPnjNohbs?amp=1 ; actual occupancy is 60, more than 3-fold


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