Hispanics’ rightward march

The Biden Administration’s Southern boarder policies have backfired bigtime. According to the generic congressional ballot conducted by the Wall Street Journal, which asks voters whether they would prefer Democratic or Republican control of Congress, the Democrat Party share of the Hispanic vote fell from more than 60% to just 37%, with Republicans also taking 37%, while another 22% were undecided. In addition, President Biden’s approval ratings among Latino voters is 42%. The Democrats cannot win with such a low share of the Latino vote. Both President Trump or Governor DeSantis would do very well with Latino voters in 2024.

It’s official: The Democrats have a Hispanic voter problem.https://t.co/wiNqLNgVmj

— GOP (@GOP) December 22, 2021

Hispanics’ rightward march

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By Washington Examiner, December 21, 2021

It’s official: The Democrats have a Hispanic voter problem.

Support for the party’s presidential ticket among the voting bloc that was supposed to be a linchpin of what John B. Judis and Ruy Teixeira memorably dubbed “the emerging Democratic majority” fell from 71% in 2016 to 63% last year even as Joe Biden won the White House, according to the Associated Press.

The numbers cited by Democratic strategist Brad Bannon were similar, showing that Donald Trump’s “share of the Hispanic vote increased slightly from 28% to 32%. The Democratic losses among Hispanics were offset by gains among white suburban voters. There probably has been slippage in Hispanic support for Biden since then, and Democrats should be concerned.”

In some key areas, however, the Hispanic swing to the GOP was more dramatic. Both South Texas and South Florida, for instance, saw double-digit increases in Republican support, including as much as 20 points in parts of Miami-Dade County and over 10 in the Rio Grande Valley.

“One important thing to know about the decline in Hispanic support for Democrats is that it was pretty broad,” top Democratic data-cruncher David Shor told New York magazine after the election. “This isn’t just about Cubans in South Florida. It happened in New York and California and Arizona and Texas.”

The situation in the midterm elections could get much worse for Democrats. Both parties were tied in the generic congressional ballot, which asks voters whether they would prefer Democratic or Republican control of Congress, among Hispanics in a stunning poll conducted for the Wall Street Journal. The Democratic share of the Hispanic vote fell from more than 60% to just 37%, with Republicans also taking 37%, while another 22% were undecided.

Fifty-four percent of Hispanics disapproved of the job Biden was doing as president, compared to just 42% who approved. Among Hispanic men, disapproval stood at 61% compared to 38% approval. That led to some equally eye-popping numbers when it came to a hypothetical rematch between Biden and former President Trump: Hispanic voters were nearly evenly split on that question, too.

Biden took just 44% of the Hispanic vote, to 43% for Trump. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 7.6 percentage points. Hispanic men went for Trump by 23 points, giving him 56%. A pronounced gender gap, with Hispanic women breaking 55% to 30% for Biden, keeps it close. But overall, 63% of Hispanic respondents said the economy was headed in the wrong direction to 25% who thought it was going in the right one.

The trend is not entirely new. “We saw this movement starting as far back as 2018 in the run-up to those midterm elections,” said Republican pollster Neil Newhouse. “The shift among Hispanic men was clear, and it seems they were attracted to the strong leadership that President Trump offered.”

“That movement sped up in the ’20 cycle as part of the national debate revolved around the Democrats’ lurch toward socialistic policies,” Newhouse added. “Now, with President Biden’s over-reaching policies, Hispanics have pulled back and appear to be gradually shifting their partisan allegiance.”

John Anzalone, the Democratic pollster who worked on the Journal poll, put it another way, telling the outlet: “Latinos are more and more becoming swing voters. … They’re a swing vote that we’re going to have to fight for.”

 

 

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