President Trump surges in swing states according to new polling

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It’s no wonder. President Trump’s performance in the third debate was superb. Now Trump is holding massive rallies across the country, while Joe Biden goes into isolation in Delaware. However, we must do our part. Don’t get complacent in the next 8 days, because this election is very close. Get out and vote IN PERSON. And take everyone you know with you.

Trump surges in swing states according to new polling

By Post Millennial, October 26, 2020

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Findings from the Trafalgar Group, a political and corporate survey research firm, give President Donald Trump an edge to win out three fiercely contested swing states come November 3rd. According to a poll released on Saturday, Trump leads in Michigan by two points, Florida by two points, and Arizona by three.

With just over a week till election night, Trafalgar’s findings follow closely behind the final presidential debate on Friday night, one of the final opportunities for candidates to swing voter opinion.

Trump would need to win all three states to have a clean road to 270 electoral votes next Tuesday.

When running against Hillary in 2016, Trump wasn’t supposed to win Michigan, Arizona, or Florida, but surprised polling forecasts by narrowly taking all three—all of them by under a margin of five points. In 2016, Trump won Arizona with 48.1 percent of the vote. In Michigan, the President took 47.3 percent and in Florida he took 48.6 percent.

The closest of the three, Michigan, came down to a margin of .3 percent. Of the 37 polls conducted in the state, 36 favored Hillary Clinton. Trump’s victory in Michigan was a major political upset, running counter to the predictions of almost every single polling service in America, except for one notable exception: The Trafalgar Group. In Michigan, their predictions in 2016 put Trump ahead by two points. While they may have overshot his final margin of victory, they somehow managed to correctly predict an almost unforeseeable outcome.

Trafalgar, which was named by RealClearPolitics as “one of the most accurate polling operations in America,” seems to indicate the President might make a repeat performance.

There’s a few factors that set Trafalgar apart from many other polling services. For one, their polls make use of a wide range of sources for data. They use recorded calls, text messages, emails and other online methods, all while stressing participant anonymity. For another, Trafalgar polls are shorter than most polls, between seven and nine questions each.

Robert Cahaly, founder of The Trafalgar Group, recently told The National Review he believes results from longer polls will lean towards politically-inclined respondents.

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DemocracyRules
DemocracyRules
3 years ago

Meanwhile Hunter’s new wife has left him, and he’s back on the booze. Maybe Melissa found about the pedophilia, and split. Democrats are poor at consequential thinking.
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felix1999
felix1999
3 years ago
Reply to  DemocracyRules

Crack heads don’t think. His new wife was dumb to marry him but wise to leave him. The party is over! Melissa Cohen will clean him out financially.

Cohen, who was previously married in 2011, and was still involved in another relationship when she first met Hunter. She traded up and got hitched to Hunter after only knowing each other for 10 days.

What they have in common is drugs and sex. She didn’t waste time and nailed him with a child. She probably would have left him anyway. It was just a matter of time.

I’d bet she can be very nasty ….and could spill more beans about Hunter! This will cost him more!

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DemocracyRules
DemocracyRules
3 years ago
Reply to  felix1999

Felix, thanks for that background. Obviously, Melissa was impulsive, didn’t think ahead. Most wives of pedophiles walk, and it was dumb for her to ignore the massive speculation that circulated for years about Hunter.

Will she clean him out? Well these people are like gangsters, with multiple in-family mortalities.

The email things that were exchanged about Hallie, who is Hunter’s ex-squeeze and also Natalie’s mother, were horrible. Very aggressive and vicious. Pedos have high mortality rates for a reason.

felix1999
felix1999
3 years ago
Reply to  DemocracyRules

Melissa is an opportunist that did think a head. She moved Hunter along with a purpose …. $$$$$.

She had him all jazzed up with drugs and sex and went for the jackpot. Now there is no reason to put up with him and will cash in.

Sewer Maintenance
Sewer Maintenance
3 years ago

Come on Michiganites don’t let us down.

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Thanks for sharing!