President Trump overtakes Biden, 47%-46%, and hits 52% approval

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If polls have Trump ahead, then you just know he is CRUSHING that dirty, demented old segregationist.

Trump overtakes Biden, 47%-46%, and hits 52% approval

By Paul Bedard, Washington Examiner | September 16, 2020:

In a polling double tap on the Democratic presidential ticket, President Trump, for the first time, has edged in front of Joe Biden in his bid for reelection, and he’s reached his highest approval rating for the year.

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The just-issued Rasmussen Reports surveys put Trump’s approval rating at 52% after a string of 51% marks. He reached 52% two other times this year.

And the pollster’s weekly race review released at noon had Trump nudging ahead of Biden, 47%-46%.

“President Trump has now edged to a one-point lead over Democratic nominee Joe Biden in the latest Rasmussen Reports’ weekly White House Watch survey. While statistically insignificant, it’s the first time Trump has been ahead,” said the poll analysis.

It added: “The race has narrowed over the past two weeks. Biden had a two-point lead last week, but that survey also marked the first time Trump had edged above 45% over the past two-and-a-half months. Prior to this week, Biden has bested Trump in every weekly survey since White House Watch began at the beginning of July.”

Other national polls show Biden still in the lead, though it has been shrinking. Rasmussen is the first to show a Trump lead.

Notably, Rasmussen, which called Hillary Clinton’s margin of popular vote win in 2016 accurately, did not oversample Democrats like many other pollsters do. Of its likely voter count, 37% were Democrats, 33% were Republican, and 30% were independent.

Many analysts believe that the campaign will tighten and be won in the final days of November, just like in 2016, when Trump pulled off an Electoral College victory over Clinton.

Rasmussen said that both Biden and Trump hold 80% of their base. And it said that Trump is attracting minorities. “Trump shows surprising strength among other minority voters, suggesting perhaps that he is attracting Hispanic support as violent racial protests continue in many major cities,” said the analysis.

Both campaigns have been confident in their polling, showing an eventual win.

A key to past reelection victories has been a national approval rating of about 50%. Trump’s average has been well below that over his three-plus years in office, but like Presidents George W. Bush and Barack Obama, he appears to be peaking just in time.

Recent controversies have apparently not affected his approval rating and may have provoked a backlash among his enthusiastic supporters.

And he’s also scored some wins, including the Israel, United Arab Emirates, and Bahrain peace deal signed at the White House on Tuesday and the decision by the Big Ten football league to change course and play.

The next key flashpoint in the contest will be the Trump-Biden debates.

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DemocracyRules2
DemocracyRules2
3 years ago

52% approval is great! The same thing happened with Obama as the 2012 election approached. Obama had low “strongly approve” numbers 6 months prior to November 2012, but that number increased substantially as the election approached. And of course, Obama won.

Trump has much higher “strongly approve” numbers than Obama had at this point, and we can still expect Trump’s “strongly approve” numbers to increase further in the next few weeks.

Achmed Mohandjob
Achmed Mohandjob
3 years ago

In 2012, we thought that obimbo was running against a very weak candidate, Willard the Rich Mormon.

Compare Willard to joey bidet.

By the way, DemocracyRules2, it seems as if I am able to freely post comments, as of today. Monday, I got stopped at four, which was FAR more than earlier. Today … I have yet to get stopped.

However, my racist posting of statistics will probably get me banned, once again.

DemocracyRules2
DemocracyRules2
3 years ago

Congrats , and welcome back!
This shows how to get around a Disqus IP ban:
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You might need help from a techie, but what are kids for?

Achmed Mohandjob
Achmed Mohandjob
3 years ago

I can choose several ISPs. There are many that come with the VPN. I’m waiting for one from Lower Slobovia (a tip of the hat to Al Capp and his Shmoos).

DemocracyRules2
DemocracyRules2
3 years ago

Ah yes, “Lowest Slobovia,” I remember it well…
‘black-hat-world’ suggests “try Hola” for Disqus bypass VPNs. They are free, and then a new IP is not needed.
https://www.blackhatworld.com/seo/how-to-get-around-a-disqus-ip-ban.796878

famouswolf
famouswolf
3 years ago

That may be, probably IS, but the polls mean NOTHING.
We’ll just have to wait and see.

Fount
Fount
3 years ago

We need every freedom loving American to vote for President Trump. We need to completely overwhelm the DemoNazis so they cannot fix this election.

DemocracyRules2
DemocracyRules2
3 years ago

Iran sanctions ‘snap-back’ is now 3 days away. Abrams is the new tough guy Trump installed recently. The deadline is January 20, but time differences mean that sanctions start on January 19 in the USA. Iran still thinks they can somehow beat the snap-back, but Raab of the UK just said in DC that Britain supports Trump. Prepare for SHTF.
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DemocracyRules2
DemocracyRules2
3 years ago

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taxpayer22
taxpayer22
3 years ago

Trish Regan said that this China virus is another impeachment scam against Trump all over again.. like the fake Russia – Mueller witch hunt..

Bill
Bill
3 years ago

Which means it’s more like 50% – 43%.
Lot’s of people (like me) abhor taking surveys and polls. Historically, conservatives clam up more than windbag liberals.

AlgorithmicAnalyst
AlgorithmicAnalyst
3 years ago

The Democrats will throw everything they’ve got at him, between now and the election.

Drew the Infidel
Drew the Infidel
3 years ago

Here in the oil patch of West Texas, Trump signs and flags are everywhere, including on the heavy equipment being used on pipeline projects.

I have seen only one Biden sign, on the building at the local county office of the Democrat party.

DVader
DVader
3 years ago

One poll does not an election make. You’re whistling past the graveyard. Check the aggregate of polls and nothing has changed. Trump’s still losing.

Murielle
Murielle
3 years ago

I pray he wins. I pray it with my whole heart.

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