Poll: Biden and Trump Locked in Statistical Tie in Pennsylvania

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If polls show a tie, then clearly Trump is up significantly.

Our great President is going to win Pennsylvania in November. Minnesota too. And bury Joe Biden in the process.

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Poll: Biden and Trump Locked in Statistical Tie in Pennsylvania

By Breitbart, August 21, 2020

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by four points in the key battleground state of Pennsylvania, 49 percent to 45 percent, according to a poll released on Friday by Muhlenberg College/Morning Call.

The poll of 416 likely voters was conducted between August 11 and August 17 and has a 5.5 percent margin of error. Since Biden’s four point advantage over Trump is within that margin of error, the race in the Keystone State is a statistical tie.

In the 2016 presidential election, President Trump defeated Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania by a mere 68,000 votes out of  5.9 million votes cast, giving him the state’s 20 electoral college votes, which provided a significant boost to his final election day tally of 306 electoral college votes to Hillary Clinton’s 232. With 538 total electoral college votes, a majority of 270 is needed to win the presidency.

(Note: Due to seven faithless electors, the final electoral college tally when the votes were tabulated in a joint session of Congress in January 2017 was 304 for Trump and 227 for Clinton.)

According to the poll:

The President’s efforts to once again win the Keystone State’s 20 electoral votes is hindered by the majority of Pennsylvania likely voters who disapprove of his handling of the presidency (51%), and who believe that President Trump does not deserve reelection (53%).

Despite his narrow lead over Trump in the poll, Biden also exhibits liabilities, with more likely voters in the Commonwealth viewing him unfavorably (46%) than favorably (39%).

In the midst of the economic struggles that have accompanied the COVID-19 pandemic, only 10% of likely voters in Pennsylvania said their financial situation is worse than it was before Trump took office, with 40% stating their financial situation is better now. These levels are largely unchanged since the last Muhlenberg/Morning Call poll in February.

“Given the current unemployment levels, we expected some shifts in these numbers,” Chris Borick, director of Muhlenberg’s Institute for Public Opinion,  said of the poll.

“We know many people’s economic standing has suffered during the coronavirus pandemic crisis. I believe voters are appraising their economic situation not so much in the moment but rather over the span of Trump’s presidency,” Borick added.

According to the Real Clear Politics Average of Polls, Biden leads Trump in Pennsylvania by 5.7 points.

In recent weeks, Trump has been gaining in battleground states. According to Real Clear Politics Average of polls in the top battleground states of Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, and Arizona, Biden’s lead has dropped to 4.2 points.

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AR154U☑ᵀʳᵘᵐᵖ DEPLORABLE 2020
AR154U☑ᵀʳᵘᵐᵖ DEPLORABLE 2020
3 years ago

Trump mocks Biden’s Scranton roots ahead of convention speech: ‘He abandoned Pennsylvania’

“Joe Biden is a puppet of the radical left movement that seeks to destroy the American way of life,” ~ President Donald J.Trump
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-mocks-bidens-scranton-roots-ahead-of-convention-speech-he-abandoned-pennsylvania
comment image

CharlieSeattle
CharlieSeattle
3 years ago

Quid Pro Joe Biden should be in prison, not running for President.

amac. us/quid-pro-quo-joe-biden-could-be-in-trouble/

It is well known now that while Biden was V.P., he strong-armed the then Ukrainian President to fire the prosecutor who was investigating his son within six hours or he wouldn’t get the billion dollars he was promised, “Son of a bitch, he was fired” Biden related recently to reporters and guests recently at a Council of Foreign Relations gathering. Biden’s son was sitting on the board of Burisma Holdings which is an oil and gas company in Ukraine and getting $85,000 a month even though he had no experience in gas, oil or energy. He was obviously there to sell influence and admitted to an ABC reporter that he had no experience and was probably there because he was Joe Biden’s son. The media from CNN’s Anderson Cooper to the anchors on MSNBC immediately jumped to Biden’s defense and called the claim “unsubstantial.” …Unsubstantial ??? We have Biden admitting it on video what he did.

Now Fox News’ legal analyst Greg Jarrett has uncovered four federal laws Biden has broken that could land him in serious trouble.

1)Foreign Corrupt Practices Act (15USC78dd-1)
It is illegal for a U.S. person to coerce or influence through bribery, extort a foreign into taking action that might financially benefit that person, his family or business.

2) Bribery (18USC201b)
Whoever corruptly gives, offers or promises anything of value to a public official to influence that public official is guilty of bribery.

3) Gratuities Act (180SC201)
Giving, offering, or promising anything of value to a public official in exchange for any official act is a violation of the gratuities act.

4) Hobbs Act-Extortion (18USC 1951)
A threat to a foreign official in order to obtain an official benefit affecting interstate or foreign commerce would constitute extortion under the Hobbs act.

>>> These are all facts about real crimes that happened!

Soooo, W.T.F. is wrong with the Justice Department??

DemocracyRules
DemocracyRules
3 years ago

Iran claims new 1400 km ballistic missile that can hit Israel. Meanwhile, Biden has no idea what century he is in.comment image

MuhamMUDTheFakeProphet
MuhamMUDTheFakeProphet
3 years ago
Reply to  DemocracyRules

It’s not like Israel hasn’t been hit by IRBM’s before. Iraq was firing SCUD’s from mobile launchers back around the time of Desert Storm. Back then the fear was that Hussein and Chemical Ali would use chemical warheads on their SCUD’s, in particular, mustard gas, a WMD.

AR154U☑ᵀʳᵘᵐᵖ DEPLORABLE 2020
AR154U☑ᵀʳᵘᵐᵖ DEPLORABLE 2020
3 years ago

comment image

DemocracyRules
DemocracyRules
3 years ago

Dr. Birx says November in-person voting should be as easy as going to Starbucks
https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/coronavirus/dr-birx-says-november-person-voting-should-be-easy-going-starbucks
“White House coronavirus coordinator tells Just the News she is confident about ability to keep voters safe, has gotten death threats since March.”

caschmid@centurytel.net
3 years ago
Reply to  DemocracyRules

Saw that and it sure makes a good headline. Something that feels normal.

Liberalism_IS_UNGODLY
Liberalism_IS_UNGODLY
3 years ago

THAT IS WHAT THE MSM WANTS YOU TO BELIEVE.

The truth?

TRUMP = 62%
BIDEN = 38%

CharlieSeattle
CharlieSeattle
3 years ago

………………..yawn,

Poll: Clinton holds a 6-point lead in Pa.; Senate race remains tight
By LAURA OLSON
CALL WASHINGTON BUREAU |
NOV 05, 2016

https://www.mcall.com/news/local/mc-pa-poll-trump-clinton-toomey-mcginty-20161105-story.html

caschmid@centurytel.net
3 years ago
Reply to  CharlieSeattle

You make a pertinent observation regarding managing expectations.

CharlieSeattle
CharlieSeattle
3 years ago

…refuting MSM lies.

Wes
Wes
3 years ago

I say BS. When it comes to fake polls, the BS is overly fabricated. Trump 2020 and MAGA.

famouswolf
famouswolf
3 years ago
Reply to  Wes

Absolutely. I refuse to believe half the people in Pennsylvania or anywhere else are THAT STUPID.

freedomfrind
freedomfrind
3 years ago

If Trump shows Penn. how Biden-Harris-Schumer-Pelosi plan to insure that we will NEVER return to the great economy we had Jan. 2020 pre-Chinese Virus because the Democrats are planning to DESTROY the US economy/job growth beginning with the total destruction of the US energy and healthcare industry, Trump would take Penn. and every other swing state.

How do we know the Democrats are planning to do so? They say so! Team Trump just needs to take some key lines out of the Biden-Sanders Unity Agreement and the DNC’s Democratic Party Platform.

MAS
MAS
3 years ago

Liars figure…

MuhamMUDTheFakeProphet
MuhamMUDTheFakeProphet
3 years ago

The graveyards of America will stand up and be counted for Gropin’ Joe! Ditto for the non-citizen vote! Remember the Dem0rat motto: “Vote early and vote often!”

caschmid@centurytel.net
3 years ago

Ms. Pamela, I am praying that you are right. It is inconceivable that so many Americans want communism. How can we be doing this to ourselves? I heard a man named Peter Chowka today say, “pray, influence and vote.” He is also for Trump. I still believe that voting matters. I just shared a story about a man helping an old woman who had fallen; God is still here, lass; stay on task.

stephen5970
stephen5970
3 years ago

If you listen or watch unedited Biden, why would anyone vote for Biden or the Democrats.

Jake321
Jake321
3 years ago
Reply to  stephen5970

Because folk watch, listen to and read Trump’s Twitters all too often.

Poptoy1949
Poptoy1949
3 years ago

What ever happened to the Saturday Night Movie offered on this site? It was a refreshing way to get away from all the troubles going on. Bring it back Please. Trump will take Pennsylvania just like before.

Drew the Infidel
Drew the Infidel
3 years ago

Don’t forget that in 2016 the polls showed Hillary leading Trump by an 83%-15% margin the night before voting started. Maybe the closer we get to Election Day, the more hysterical they will be.

The statistics CDC publishes shows what Disraeli said about there being two kinds of lies, damn lies and statistics.

Trump 2020! Convincingly.

Jake321
Jake321
3 years ago

Just checked and you are referring to the betting and NOT the polls. The RCP average just before the 2016 election was Hillary by about 3 points. She lead in the actual vote count by about 2 points. Pretty much within the margin of error. What was missed was the state votes which gave the EC to Trump. The average of the RCP polls for Pennsylvania had Hillary up about 2 points. The final vote had Trump win by well under 1 point. Again, pretty much within the margin of error. With Biden up by 5.7 points in Pennsylvania in the average of the RCP polls, at this point he would take the State and likely the Presidency. But a lot can change over the next couple of months.

jd
jd
3 years ago

I hope Trump is not peaking too early. I also hope Trump voters do not get complacent and forget to vote.
{^_^}

John Acord
John Acord
3 years ago

Millions of people are living in fear they may be harassed, demoted, fired by Commiecrats by even hinting they support Trump. The Commiecrats have turned daily life into a living nightmare for millions who are looking forward to November 3 to turn the tables on them by voting for Trump and his supporters.

Michael Goldman
Michael Goldman
3 years ago
Reply to  John Acord

Without tens of millions of dead people illegally voting, the President will win Pennsylvania.

old white guy
old white guy
3 years ago

That is funny, PA the state where they get 110% turnout and 100% vote for democrats, Sure thing, great poll.

Stephen Honig
Stephen Honig
3 years ago

It wouldn’t be political if these morons can visualize the future.

danE DanE
danE DanE
3 years ago

THEIR LIPS ARE MOVING!!! AND we know how the demonicRATS are the biggest LIARS AND CHEATS, EVER!!! The polls are being set up just in case the CHEAT (every way they can) WORKS!

Jake321
Jake321
3 years ago
Reply to  danE DanE

That is a very clear case of projection. Thanks for the great example.

D A
D A
3 years ago

I don’t believe it. I think Trump is ahead.

Jake321
Jake321
3 years ago
Reply to  D A

And I didn’t believe Trump would win in 2016 but my numbers said it was likely he could, if close. Guess I should stick with the numbers which show a likely close win for Biden at this time. My belief is it should be a Blue Tsunami but it won’t be. Numbers say a Biden squeaker like Trump one last time in the EC. But with at least a 4 million win for Biden in the Popular Vote which has no meaning in our current system.

D A
D A
3 years ago
Reply to  Jake321

Jake…. your better at being a racist than predictions.

Jake321
Jake321
3 years ago

Well, the average of the RCP polls shows Biden ahead by 5.7 points. Since it is an average of several polls it has a minimal margin of error. Thus, at this point Biden is well ahead in Pennsylvania.

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