An incident in late April was overshadowed by the communist coronavirus.
It may represent a danger that could well in turn obscure, or at least complicate, the consequences of the coronavirus.
In April, the guided-missile destroyer USS Barry completed a routine freedom-of-navigation operation in the South China Sea.
In response, Beijing stated that it “expelled” our warship, describing its patrol as “provocative” and a serious violation of its sovereignty and security interests, one that “could easily trigger an unexpected incident.”
Both China and the United States are making commitments in the South China Sea that each may find difficult to back away from.
In march, 2020, “these commitments have generated a war of words that analysts of the relationship have found troubling”, explained Robert Fairley.
China wants to expand (or create) islands in the Spratlys, which could theoretically provide the basis for claims to territorial waters. For its part, the United States “freedom of navigation” doctrine could bring these tensions to a boil.
Here are three ways in which tensions in the South China Sea might lead to conflict.
- The next time an American ship or plane operates lawfully in international waters or airspace off China’s shore, President Xi Jinping may have a more vigorous response. He could actually order to open fire on an American plane.
Since Xi failed at destroying the Western world with the coronavirus, it could very well gear his country up for armed confrontation.
China asserts territorial claims – without any legal base (when do communists need legal base for their crimes anyway)- within its “Nine-Dash Line” encompassing the Paracel, Spratly, and Pratas Islands, the Macclesfield Bank, and Scarborough Shoal: areas claimed by American allies.
Beijing is also fiercely determined to reclaim the breakaway province, as it sees it, of Taiwan — a democracy to which we extended solemn security guarantees 70 years ago.
China’s cyber capabilities may make our sophisticated arms inoperable, while being able to drop nuclear weapons on the US soil.
During a Dec. 20 speech to the 2018 Military Industry List summit, China’s Rear Adm. Luo Yuan, the deputy head of the Chinese Academy of Military Sciences, added fuel to the South China Sea fire when he stated the key for Chinese domination in those hotly contested waters could lie in the sinking of two U.S. aircraft carriers, according to a report by Australia’s news.com.
“What the United States fears the most is taking casualties,” the admiral said, before adding that such an attack on two of the U.S. Navy’s steel behemoths would claim upwards of 10,000 lives.
And opposite to China, if we need to prepare politically and psychologically for losses in even a limited conflict with China, the divisiveness of the country, and the pro-Chinese and anti-American bias of our media and a part of the academic elite, romantically infatuated with communist China, could further complicate matters.
It might no be up to us: War could very well start at China’s initiative.
And I’m not even going to tell you what would happen with uncle Joe, who only recently said that China’s not the enemy, they’re the good guys…
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