[ April 24, 2024 ]
https://twitter.com/JohnJHarwood/status/1244677187736940550
NY GOV Cuomo says there's "no doubt that the rate has slowed." The rate of doubling is down. From every two days, to every six days.
— Emily Peck (@EmilyRPeck) March 30, 2020
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A week ago:
Coronavirus: New York Infection Rate Is ‘Doubling About Every 3 Days,’ Cuomo Says
March 24, 2020:
By: Bill Chappell, NPR:
“We haven’t flattened the curve, and the curve is actually increasing,” New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo said of new coronavirus cases Tuesday. Cuomo said his state now has more than 25,000 cases, as he gave an update on the COVID-19 outbreak at a news conference at Manhattan’s Javits Center, which will house a temporary hospital.
John Minchillo/APThe rate of new coronavirus cases in New York is “doubling about every three days” and is speeding up even more, Gov. Andrew Cuomo said Tuesday. “That is a dramatic increase in the rate of infection.”
The new estimates are “troubling and astronomical numbers,” the governor said. He added that the apex of the curve of rising coronavirus cases in New York is still 14 to 21 days away, according to the latest projections. The governor also said New York is in urgent need of ventilators and other vital resources.
“We need the federal help, and we need the federal help now,” Cuomo said.
As of around midday Tuesday, New York had 25,665 coronavirus cases — roughly half of the U.S. total. The state says at least 210 people there have died from COVID-19.
So far, the governor said, New York has not flattened the curve — the metric many officials are following as they attempt to keep the contagious respiratory virus from overwhelming public health systems.
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10 Comments4 years agoAre there any pictures of hospitals IN NEW YORK with dead everywhere?
4 years agoYes, quarantines, distancing, etc. do work if people adhere to them. I takes about 10 days to see results, because infection rates die down slowly. South Korea even does the strongest form: trace, isolate, treat.
Contact tracing involves identifying Covid-19 patients, and then finding every person that each patient interacted with while they were infectious. Then put all those people in quarantine for 14 days to see if the Covid-19 pops up. That would have been possible in the USA if China had been honest about their epidemic. Now there are too many people infected to follow them all.
4 years agoReply to DemocracyRulesStay At Home Mom From New York Shared Her Secret On How She Managed To Rake In $2500 Weekly Out Of Online Work Only 3 Weeks After Losing Her Old Job..Find out just how HERE. . crl.li/dhi
4 years agoCuomo may be seriously misinformed. Historically, these epidemics have a “W” curve, where they peak, lull, super-peak, lull, peak again, and then disappear.
We’ll see wha this one does. October 1918 was the worst month for the 1918 flu, and that was the second peak.
4 years agoBoth Fauci and Brix are guilty of scare mongering!
The model and projections are only as good as the input assumptions. I think these “assumptions” could be politically motivated….Coronavirus Could Kill 200,000 in U.S. in Best Case Scenario;
Americans Told to Stay Home Through April
By Ron Brackett and Jan Wesner
…Projections of 100,000 to 200,000 American deaths is a best case scenario even “if we do things almost perfectly,” Dr. Deborah Birx, the lead coordinator of the White House’s coronavirus task force, said on NBC’s “Today” show.
…
“I don’t want to see it — I would like to avoid it, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw 100,000 deaths,” Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told CNN.
…
Without precautionary measures, the government model projected, COVID-19 could kill 1.6 million to 2.2 million Americans.
Those dire projections led to President Donald Trump to extend “social distancing” guidelines through at least April 30.
…
https://weather.com/health/coronavirus/news/2020-03-30-coronavirus-covid-19-updates-social-distancing-total-casesI find it hard to believe that we could jump to 100,000 deaths by April 15th when we have 2,828 deaths nationwide, 222 daily deaths in NY on 3/28 and DOWN to 104 daily deaths as of 3/29/20. Total deaths so far in NY is 776 as of 3/29. NY is reported to have the highest death rate in the nation! The daily death rate is going down and the numbers are no where near those projected. “Social distancing” is working as well as existing drugs to STOP this are working. BTW Fauci and Brix are against these drugs that are working. Hmmmm.
I am glad Trump got emergency FDA approval of these drugs so doctors have no excuse to not use them. Doctors could already use them for unapproved FDA usage. Now this takes away the “not FDA approved” excuse from sadistic doctors not willing to use them on patients but might be using them on themselves.
Also note healthcare employees are ENCOURAGED to “err on the side of caution” when reporting death rates. It’s coming out that death reporting may not be virus caused. Other health reasons and complications are the real reasons for the deaths reported — not the virus.
4 years agoReply to felix1999And then there are those who have died either by suicide from the stress of being cooped up all day like caged animals in their homes from this, having been stripped of their livelihoods, their life savings and whatnot, or like that 86-year-old woman murdered in a Brooklyn hospital by another patient.
But will this FDA approval of these drugs make any difference to sadistic leftist governors like Michigan’s mean-faced, nasty witch?
4 years agoNY is counting all deaths as beervirus so they can try and suck more tax dollars out of the feds!!!!
4 years agoThat’s why these idiots never use ratio graphs (semi-log) to display their data.
I just saw one in Fortune magazine ranting about how energy consumption is increasing at a skyrocketing rate, world-wide, and the graph goes nearly vertical…
But if you take a second look, you notice that it doubled from “2” to “4” whatevers in TEN years, but the next Doubling, to “8” units.. took about 35 years.
Math.. the unknown skill.
4 years agoEveryone who is tested positive for the virus, whether they are hospitalized or not, should be given the recommended treatment of hydroxoychloroquine plus antibiotics. It could also be used as a preventative for those most at risk for contracting it, like hospital workers. I think instead people in New York are continuing to die because they are not using the recommended treatment as they should be. Otherwise in spite of other factors some would live even with pneumonia like lung damage. Lung damage does not have to be a death sentence, even for those also in bad health.
