The Coronavirus mortality rate does not correspond to the disproportionate response. The mortality rate went from over 3% to 1.9%. And that doesn’t take into account the undiagnosed who do not get sick or exhibit symptoms.. But the Democrats and their radical media partners are inciting to riot and panic. They are throwing Americans out of work, destroying millions of small businesses, and wiping out the lifesavings of all Americans.
Yes Italy has suffered but that is due in large part to the age of their population. The Italian population is the oldest in Europe, with about 23 percent of the inhabitants age 65 or older Many of those who have died in Italy were in their 80s and 90s, the segment of the population that is more susceptible to the virus.
It is absolutely a dangerous flu. But you don’t shut down civilization.
You can slow down the spread without shutting everything down. It’s madness.
There have been deadly sicknesses before H1N1 (2009), MERS (2012), Ebola (2014). It has never ever remotely gone this far. It’s just anti-Trump. They want to kill the Trump economy. And they have.
Let’s talk about the flu. So far, the CDC has estimated (based on weekly influenza surveillance data) that at least 12,000 people have died from influenza between Oct. 1, 2019 through Feb. 1, 2020, and the number of deaths may be as high as 30,000.
You never hear anything about that. There are no new stories about that. No hands flailing or dire warnings
The CDC also estimates that up to 31 million Americans have caught the flu this season, with 210,000 to 370,000 flu sufferers hospitalized because of the virus
So how do these numbers compare to flu deaths in previous years? So far, it looks like the 2019-2020 death toll won’t be as high as it was in the 2017-2018 season, when 61,000 deaths were linked to the virus. However, it could equal or surpass the 2018-2019 season’s 34,200 flu-related deaths.
The United States has 3,000 confirmed cases of the coronavirus, and the death toll is 61, with 25 of the deaths associated with the Life Care Center in Kirkland, Washington, a nursing home.
The Coronavirus Fatality Rate Reported by the Media Is COMPLETELY INACCURATE. The Actual Rate Is LESS THAN THE FLU – MEDIA LYING AGAIN
by Joe Hoft, Gateway Pundit, March 16, 2020:
The current estimate for the fatality rates on the coronavirus just don’t add up. The estimates based on current data are completely inaccurate. Current data shows that this virus is much less deadly that even the common flu from the 2019-2020 season.
N/A – not available
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Summary of points below:
- Estimates have been made about the fatality rate of the coronavirus
- Sometimes estimates are reasonable and sometimes they are off, way off
- The current global coronavirus fatality rate is estimated at 3.4%
- The same rate for the flu is 10% (but the media tells you it’s .1%)
- Actual results for the coronavirus are lower than the flu
- Current estimates between the flu and the coronavirus are not comparing ‘apples to apples’
- Those most at risk from the coronavirus are the elderly (average age of death in 80) and the sick
1. Estimates have been made about the fatality rate of the coronavirus.
Often times estimates have to be made because data is just not yet available. These estimates usually involve obtaining information that is available and making estimates on what is not. We cannot tell the future but we can make educated guesses based on information available. This is what has been done with the coronavirus because this type of virus has apparently never been seen before.
2. Sometimes estimates are reasonable and sometimes they are wrong, way off.
I personally know of estimates made by actuaries (i.e. statisticians) who projected profits in a country that were way wrong. In this case the government changed the regulations related to the business in the country which resulted in tens of millions in losses in USD. I know of another case where actuaries predicted a deal to be profitable that eventually led to over $100 million in losses.
The point is that whenever estimates are made they are always wrong because no one can tell the future. Sometimes estimates end up close and sometimes they are not and sometimes they are way off.
3. The current estimate for the coronavirus fatality rate is about 3.4%.
The estimates for the fatality rate for the coronavirus are shocking. The CDC released one report in February stating the rate varies between 12% and 1%:
Our estimates of the risk for death in Wuhan reached values as high as 12% in the epicenter of the epidemic and ≈1% in other, more mildly affected areas.
A report by the World Health Organization (WHO) and China estimates the mortality rate to be around 3.8% based on actual results:
As of 20 February, 2114 of the 55,924 laboratory confirmed cases have died (crude fatality ratio [CFR2] 3.8%) (note: at least some of whom were identified using a case definition that included pulmonary disease). The overall CFR varies by location and intensity of transmission (i.e. 5.8% in Wuhan vs. 0.7% in other areas in China).
Other reports are that the WHO estimates the mortality rate to be around 3.4%:
The World Health Organization (WHO) has estimated the mortality rate from Covid-19 is about 3.4%. That is higher than seasonal flu and is cause for concern – but even if it is correct, more than 96% of people who become infected with the coronavirus will recover.
As of today, the actual fatality rate for those who were confirmed to have had the coronavirus is 3.84%. This is the number of fatalities from the virus divided by the number of individuals who were confirmed with the virus.
4. The same rate for the flu is 10% (but the media tells you it’s .1%).
As The Gateway Pundit reported earlier, according to CDC numbers, in the US in the 2019-2020 flu season, there were 222,000 confirmed cases of the flu from testing and an estimated 36 million flu cases in the United States. There were 22,000 confirmed deaths from the flu.
Note that the number of deaths and confirmed cases (through testing) of the flu in the US are based on actual data. The number of individuals who contracted the flu is an estimate by experts. There is no way to know who had the flu in the US because many cases are not severe and people do not have a test done to confirm they had the flu. They believe their symptoms are minor and go on with their normal lives thinking they have a cold or something similar. Because of this, the CDC must estimate and they estimated 36 million people had the flu in this past flu season.
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