CONTESTED CONVENTION: Odds of No Democrats Winning More than Half of Delegates Increasing

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Easier to screw crazy Bernie this way. They gave him a house last time. What will Bernie’s payoff be this time?

Odds of No Democrats Winning More than Half of Delegates Increasing

Daybreak Insider

Now at 64 percent.  Sanders has a 1 in 4 chance.  Biden, 1 in 8 (FiveThirtyEight).  According to Nate Silver, “Buttigieg dropping out may actually increase the likelihood of a contested convention. He was polling at <15% almost everywhere on Super Tuesday, meaning he was tracking to get very few delegates, but his votes will help other candidates to get over 15% and get delegates” (Twitter).  As of now, it appears Sanders is leading in all of the Super Tuesday states with the exception of North Carolina (National Review).  A detailed breakdown of each candidate’s support (Economist).  Regarding the strategy of Elizabeth Warren, Politico explains “Their path to victory is likely at a contested convention and not by outright winning a majority of pledged delegates, which they believe no other candidate will achieve, either” (Politico).

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felix1999
felix1999
4 years ago

That is what they will do. The question is, WHO will the establishment substitute for the winner? I include the NEVER TRUMPERS in that too. They also HATE Trump with a passion.

Anthony Silvio
Anthony Silvio
4 years ago

Bernie MUST GO and everyone backs JOE !!
…….. too bad Joe doesn’t know, because he’s SLOW …Zzzzz
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Anthony Silvio
Anthony Silvio
4 years ago

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Anthony Silvio
Anthony Silvio
4 years ago

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StevenRobert
StevenRobert
4 years ago

There’s a gigantic danger that Biden will throw it all away. He has temper tantrums with voters, challenges them to push-up contests, can’t handle questions about his son Hunter, and making usually one or two off the wall comments almost every day, like 150 million people being shot and killed in gun violence. He can’t handle, may not know details, like who he’s talking too, or what state he’s in. Can he actually handle a press conference? I don’t think so, so they’ll hide him away, bring him out for photo ops, give press releases, probably avoid debates and town halls as much as possible, and just have screened journalists talk. With him after giving him uestions in advance. Even then, it will be a rough go, and everyone will be watching him for senior moments, which probably everyone has, but attendants will be with him every step of the way and likely helping him with day to day living.
Sanders, while appearing irritable, socialist or communist, obscessed about Mao and Castro, is lucid and sharp as they come, as best I can tell.

Roma Mikhasev
Roma Mikhasev
4 years ago

Crazy Bernie will be president..

The Notorious A.I.H.
The Notorious A.I.H.
4 years ago

I don’t know why anyone is bothering to track this. The 2020 nominee has already been selected by party insiders, and will be installed at the convention regardless of what happens in the primaries.

TomSJr
TomSJr
4 years ago

BIDEN will be their nominee because he was V.P.

CharlieSeattle
CharlieSeattle
4 years ago
Reply to  TomSJr

Biden and his Sister in 2020

John Acord
John Acord
4 years ago

If its a brokered convention and Comrade Bernie doesn’t have a clear majority of the delegates, Bloomberg is going to buy it for either himself or Hillary.Has anyone here who ever met a Commiecrat who could’t be bought? If so,speak up.

CharlieSeattle
CharlieSeattle
4 years ago
Reply to  John Acord

Sanders / Biden 2020

Lash two dead horses together for greater speed!

TomSJr
TomSJr
4 years ago

I WAS A DEMOCRAT some years ago. I WOULD NOT WANT TO BE A DEMOCRAT TODAY FOR ANYTHING IN THE WORLD. NOT A THING COULD GET ME TO GO BACK. You would have to shower to get the dirt off, every hour.

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