[ April 18, 2024 ]
BOOM.
Stunning Data From Trump’s Ohio Rally: 42.8% of Attendees Identified as Either Democratic or Independent
RedState, January 13, 2020:
President Donald Trump arrives to speak at a campaign rally at the Target Center, Thursday, Oct. 10, 2019, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Evan Vucci)
Brad Parscale, the manager of the Trump campaign, is very data-driven and, following most rallies, he reports statistics about the attendees. I have posted about this after previous rallies. On average, 23% of rally goers identify as Democrats. For Toledo, OH, this number was 21.9%.
The really stunning stat from this rally, which Parscale has never reported on before, is that 20.9% of attendees identified as Independents.
This means that 42.8% of the 22,927 voters were either a Democrat or an Independent. And that is excellent news for President Trump.
Prior to the 2016 election, pollsters considered Ohio to “lean Republican.” Heading into Election Day, the Real Clear Politics polling average showed Trump ahead by 2.2 points. Trump won the state by 8.13 points.
Ohio is considered to be a bellwether state. Ohio has voted for the winner in every presidential election since 1964. So, obviously, the state voted for Presidents Johnson, Carter, Clinton (twice) and Obama (twice). It is a purple state. Toledo itself is blue, but it’s surrounded by a sea of red. So where did all those Democrats come from? Some likely came from Michigan.
Parscale’s data shows that of the 22,927 voters at the rally, 18,210 were from Ohio. The city of Toledo lies on the Michigan border. So, the remaining 4,717 likely came from Michigan, a blue wall state.
Polling data leading up to the 2016 election showed Trump behind Clinton in Michigan by 5-7 points. He wound up winning the state by 10,704 votes out of a total of 4,548,382 cast, a razor-thin margin of .23%. However, to give you an idea of how blue the state is, Michigan’s 16 electoral votes have gone to the Democrat in the previous seven presidential elections. In 2012, Obama defeated Romney by a 9.5% margin.
On the night of the House impeachment vote last month, President Trump held a rally in Battle Creek, MI. Parscale reported that 17% of those who showed up for Trump were Democrats. That number is actually down slightly from his average of 23%, but in a state as blue as Michigan, it’s phenomenal.
It is very good news that Trump is drawing such large numbers of Democrats and Independents.
The other item Parscale reported was that 5,216 voters or nearly 23% of attendees did not bother to vote in 2016. Yet they showed up for a Trump rally. His rallies tend to draw many people who have voted once in the last four elections or some who have not voted at all in the last four elections. These people can almost be considered new voters.
Below, I have included Parscale’s previous posts showing the numbers for rallies in Toledo, OH, Battle Creek, MI, Broward, FL, Tupelo, MS, and Dallas, TX.
Big data from Toledo:
✅ 22,927 Voters Identified
✅ 18,210 Voters From Ohio
✅ 5,216 Registrants Didn't Vote in 2016
✅ 21.9% Democrats
✅ 20.9% Independents
Rallies = Winning Data! pic.twitter.com/FtYFkbzXbD
— Brad Parscale (@parscale) January 11, 2020
Incredible Rally tonight in Battle Creek Michigan!
✅ 20,202 voters identified (92.2% from MI)
✅ 15% haven’t voted in last four elections, WOW!
✅ 15% have voted in only one of the last four elections
✅ 17% Democrats
Dems play theater while @realDonaldTrump is winning!
— Brad Parscale (@parscale) December 19, 2019
Data from Broward Florida rally:
✅ 31,177 voters identified
✅ 19% voted once or less in last 4 elections (8% in zero)
✅ 24% Democrat
✅ 27% Hispanic
Incredible data from a county that is predominantly blue. Put Florida in the win column for 2020!
— Brad Parscale (@parscale) November 27, 2019
https://twitter.com/parscale/status/1185222794923171840
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25 Comments
4 years ago
Let’s hope it is… we need him in there for four more years and control of the House and the Senate.
Then Trump has to bring the hammer down HARD.
There is allot more he needs to get done.
4 years ago
Reply to
felix1999
The e/GOP controlled the the House and the Senate in 2017 and 2018 and sat on their hands.
4 years ago
Reply to
CharlieSeattle
There were a lot of RINOs in the Republican party. No one is too pleased with them. There are some good ones, some harmless ones, some that just as well be democoms. I think they are slowly getting thinned out.
4 years ago
Reply to
CharlieSeattle
Then why, why do ignorant/stupid voters re-elect them back???????
4 years ago
Reply to
CharlieSeattle
Lot of that was the fault of the Speaker of the House at the time. Remember him?
4 years ago
Reply to
PlatinumGhost
The blame falls on the GOP House caucus who made him Speaker. They knew Ryan was an obstacle to Trump!
4 years ago
Holy ship, talk about a proofreading fail…
4 years ago
Trump has 20/20 vision 🙂
4 years ago
I would guess that rally turn out reflects Trump votes.
270 electorial votes are needed to win.
Trump received 304 and Hillary received 227 and you know she had lots of fraud and illegals voting.
I do understand your caution and we should not assume a Trump win. Look how beserk the DEMS are.
They are desperate and totally lawless. We can’t let them steal the election and they will try. We need to behave like we are losing to ensure a victory.
4 years ago
Reply to
felix1999
Again, Trump rally support was huge in 2016.
I wouldn’t assume a guaranteed win. Have you noticed the out right lawlessness taking place inthe swamp. Fraud will only be worse in 2020. We should not take a Trump win for granted based on crowd size or thundering cheers.
I guarantee you, voting machine fraud will be up and it is so EASY to implement. It’s the code behind the screen that can be easily manipulated and guess who is in the voting machine business? Soros and also Trump hating Mitt Romney.
4 years ago
For me, an Irish man living in Australia, I have to say that Trump has got no sex appeal, he’s not a snappy dresser, He sure has an unstylish haircut, He believes in God and things that are so out of date socially. My question is are these things or help or a handicap?
I mean, it is the Orthodox synagogue going Jews that like him – he’s no great public speaker – he just does not fit the profile.
4 years ago
Reply to
Belfast
Trump is not the perfect man,but he’s perfect for the job and he is getting better at it!
4 years ago
Just like the old popular song about our doughboys after WWI, “How’re you going to keep them down on the farm after they’ve seen gay Paree?”
4 years ago
Trump has remade the Republican party. The Bush type “Establishment” is gone, and least for now. It took longer for the moderate “Establishment” of the Democrat party to disappear, but it is gone…..nothing but a bunch of socialists/communists. Trump is amazing, did it in one election. That old saying about both parties being the same is gone…..at least for now.
4 years ago
The Commiecarts are spending billions not to win the election but to steal it. If they are successful it will be civil war.
4 years ago
Give the democrats credit for knowing this would happen if Trump was elected. It explains their obsession with getting rid of him before he takes their base away.
4 years ago
If they re-register as republicans and the usual vote fraud takes p[lace they will have a hard time explaining how the democrat candidate got more votes than were registered as democrats.
4 years ago
DEMOCRAT, not Democratic. Otherwise it’s Independentic and Republicanic.
