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Pollsters: President Trump expanding base with poor, urban, blacks, Latinos, impeachment critics

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Two-term mayor of San Francisco, renowned speaker of the California Assembly, and widely regarded as the most influential African American politician of the late twentieth century, Willie Brown wrote:

If the goal was to damage President Trump by formalizing the impeachment inquiry, it’s Mission Unaccomplished for House Democrats.

If anything, the vote solidified Trump’s hold on power. There were zero GOP defections, meaning we have zero drama heading into the public phase of impeachment. Everyone is pretty much in the same lanes they’ve been in since the Russian-collusion investigation, the obstruction of justice investigation and every other investigation.

Unfortunately for the Democrats, that gives people little reason to be glued to their screens when House committees take public testimony. The basic story — Trump pressured Ukraine to announce investigations into Democrats that would help Trump — is out there already. People know how they feel about it, and if you believe the polls, they’re pretty evenly split on whether the president deserves to be thrown out of office.

The only potential drama before last week’s vote was whether there might be any movement, whether any Republicans would see it Democrats’ way.

Looks like they don’t.

And when it gets to the Senate, it will play out just the same way. Someone like Sen. Mitt Romney of Utah may break GOP ranks, but no one thinks 20 Republicans, the bare minimum who would have to defect to convict Trump, would actually do so.

So the Democrats will spend the next few precious months acting out a pretend cliffhanger to which everyone actually knows the script and the ending. No plot twists in sight. Remember health care, the issue that won so many elections for Democrats in 2018? You might, but they don’t seem to.

Pollsters: Trump expanding base with ‘economically vulnerable’ voters, impeachment critics

>By Paul Bedard | Washington Examiner, November 04, 2019:

So why is President Trump and the Trump-Pence campaign feeling confident of a 2020 reelection?

Because, according to pollsters, insiders, and election experts, Trump is expanding his base of Republican and conservative supporters to include more independents and minorities and attracting voters who are angry at Washington but who skipped the 2016 election.

“Everybody is doing incredibly well. The poll numbers are looking great, and the economy is doing wonderfully, and we’re executing our agenda successfully to bring the change that people voted for, and we are supremely confident,” said senior White House policy adviser Stephen Miller.

At a time when the conventional wisdom in Washington, especially among Democrats, is that Trump is headed toward an easy and well-earned defeat in 2020, a collection of polls and contrarian views from critics who took Trump seriously early in the 2016 election suggest that he is in a good position.

Zogby Analytics pollster Jonathan Zogby told us that Trump is making solid inroads with new voters who feel good about the economy, including those in urban areas and the poor, traditionally part of the Democratic base.

“An interesting area where Trump has caught steam is among economically vulnerable groups. We categorize these groups as: lost a job, at a job that pays less, afraid of losing a job, and gone without food for 24 hours,” said Zogby.

What’s more, his polling has found weak enthusiasm for the 2020 Democratic candidates, and that could open the door for Trump to woo minorities.

“Trump could skim support of young, Hispanic, and women voters in addition to new groups he has appealed to,” said Zogby.

In the just-released bookHow to Beat Trump by political journalist Mark Halperin, who took Trump seriously when few did in 2016, Democratic consultant Pete Giangreco said that there is a “sleeper cell” of angry voters who didn’t show up at the polls last time that the president is poised to add.

“I think Trump can run up the score in rural areas even bigger than he did,” he told Halperin, who is making a return to journalism after apologizing for sexual misconduct when he worked at ABC News in the 2000s.

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