Turkey President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is fighting for economic wins, trying to keep his country from complete collapse in the face of its dying form of currency, the lira.
The lira has dropped nearly nine percent against both the dollar and euro in just a few short days.
This year alone, its lost a third of its value.
Meanwhile, President Donald Trump continues to chastise the country for its refusal to release a Christian pastor held in captivity by Erdogan’s government.
From the Daily Mail:
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is wrestling to get the Turkish economy on track after the currency hit a record low against the dollar today, amid a financial shockwave which Donald Trump worsened by promising to double tariffs on the NATO ally.
The lira lost nearly nine per cent against the dollar and euro on Friday – and has lost over a third of its value against the currencies so far this year.
Erdogan framed Turkey’s currency crisis as a ‘national battle’ against economic enemies, including the U.S., saying: ‘if they have their dollar, we have the people, we have Allah’.
He urged people to exchange gold and hard currency into lira to help stabilize the exchange rate, but Trump’s tweet that he had doubled steel and aluminium tariffs on Turkey deepened the financial crisis.
It comes amid worries about Erdogan’s influence over monetary policy and worsening U.S. relations which have snowballed into a market panic.
‘I have just authorized a doubling of Tariffs on Steel and Aluminum with respect to Turkey as their currency, the Turkish Lira, slides rapidly downward against our very strong Dollar!’ Trump said on Twitter.
‘Our relations with Turkey are not good at this time!’
Trump’s announcement came after talks in Washington this week failed to resolve the impasse which has led both sides to slap sanctions on senior officials amid fears of graver measures to come.
Earlier on Friday, President Erdogan brushed off any concerns during a speech in the northeastern city of Bayburt on Friday, saying: ‘The dollar cannot block our path. Don’t worry.
‘However, I say it once again from here. If there is anyone who has dollars or gold under their pillows, they should go exchange it for liras at our banks.
‘This is a national, domestic battle. This will be my people’s response to those who have waged an economic war against us.’
Turkey was facing artificial financial volatility, Erdogan said, and people should not pay close attention to foreign exchange prices, and should instead focus on the ‘big picture’.
However, once President Trump had tweeted about authorizing higher tariffs on imports from Turkey, President Erdogan phoned up Russian President Vladimir Putin.
Putin and Ergogan discussed economic and trade ties by phone, the Kremlin said in a statement.
The two leaders also spoke about the success of joint strategic projects between the two countries, particularly in the energy sphere, it said.
The lira hit a record low of 6.24 per dollar on Friday, before recovering to 5.92 – still down a whopping 7 per cent on the day.
The currency has fallen 66 per cent since the start of the year, pushing up the cost of goods for Turkish people and shaking international investors’ confidence in the country.
One of the triggers of the turmoil has been a standoff with the U.S. over a detained American pastor that Turkey, a NATO ally, has put on trial for espionage and terror-related charges linked to a failed coup attempt in the country two years ago.
Washington has demanded the pastor’s release and imposed financial sanctions on two Turkish ministers and warned of additional measures.
High level meetings in Washington between U.S. and Turkish officials ended this week without an apparent resolution.
Meanwhile, investors are worried about the economic policies of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who won a new term in office in June with sweeping new powers.
Erdogan has been putting pressure on the central bank to not raise interest rates in order to keep fueling economic growth. He claims higher rates lead to higher inflation – the opposite of what standard economic theory says.
Independent analysts argue the central bank should instead raise rates to tame inflation and support the currency.
In modern economies, central banks are meant to be independent of governments to make sure they set policies that are best for the economy, not politicians. But since adopting increased powers, Erdogan appears to have greater control over the bank as well.
Last week, he called on Turks to convert their foreign currency and gold into Turkish lira to help the currency.
Treasury and Finance Minister Berat Albayrak – who is Erdogan’s son-in-law – was scheduled later on Friday to outline a ‘new economic model.’
The currency drop is particularly painful for Turkey because the country finances a lot of its economic growth with foreign investment. As the currency drops, Turkish companies and households with debt in foreign currencies see their debts expand.
Coupled with an inflation rate of nearly 16 percent, that could cause a lot of damage to the local economy.
Foreign investors could be spooked and try to pull their money out, reinforcing the currency drop and potentially leading to financial instability.
Aylin Ertan, a 43-year-old caterer in Ankara, said she was concerned over the future of her small business.
‘The price of the food that I buy increases day by day, the fuel that I put in my car to distribute lunches is more expensive, but I cannot raise my prices from one day to the next,’ she said. ‘On some days, I end the day with a loss.’
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